Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000698 0.000794 0.000895 0.001010 0.001137 0.001272 0.001426
2025-08-03 0.000529 0.000659 0.000806 0.000984 0.001192 0.001427 0.001709
2025-08-10 0.000454 0.000602 0.000777 0.000997 0.001264 0.001576 0.001963
2025-08-17 0.000393 0.000550 0.000745 0.000998 0.001317 0.001698 0.002186
2025-08-24 0.000331 0.000489 0.000693 0.000967 0.001321 0.001758 0.002329
2025-08-31 0.000282 0.000439 0.000647 0.000938 0.001324 0.001811 0.002461
2025-09-07 0.000250 0.000408 0.000625 0.000935 0.001358 0.001901 0.002640
2025-09-14 0.000225 0.000383 0.000607 0.000936 0.001394 0.001994 0.002824
2025-09-21 0.000200 0.000355 0.000583 0.000926 0.001414 0.002065 0.002979
2025-09-28 0.000176 0.000328 0.000556 0.000910 0.001423 0.002120 0.003112
2025-10-05 0.000166 0.000320 0.000559 0.000935 0.001491 0.002255 0.003356
2025-10-12 0.000155 0.000311 0.000557 0.000954 0.001548 0.002377 0.003584
2025-10-19 0.000139 0.000291 0.000539 0.000946 0.001568 0.002448 0.003746
2025-10-26 0.000123 0.000270 0.000516 0.000930 0.001573 0.002497 0.003878
2025-11-02 0.000114 0.000259 0.000510 0.000940 0.001618 0.002605 0.004093
2025-11-09 0.000104 0.000247 0.000500 0.000942 0.001650 0.002692 0.004281
2025-11-16 0.000090 0.000225 0.000471 0.000911 0.001631 0.002704 0.004360
2025-11-23 0.000079 0.000206 0.000445 0.000884 0.001614 0.002719 0.004442
2025-11-30 0.000071 0.000195 0.000434 0.000881 0.001636 0.002791 0.004609
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000186 0.000426 0.000882 0.001663 0.002871 0.004790
2025-12-14 0.000059 0.000175 0.000412 0.000873 0.001673 0.002925 0.004932
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000163 0.000396 0.000857 0.001671 0.002961 0.005047
2025-12-28 0.000050 0.000162 0.000401 0.000881 0.001738 0.003103 0.005327